Original research - 1 July 2026. Data evaluated 11 September 2026.

Processing-Time Planning Reliability Index 2026

A 2026 processing-time planning reliability index scoring official immigration clocks by published-window availability, window width, percentile disclosure and source freshness.

This is not a claim about actual case outcomes. It measures how transparent and usable each official clock is for planning before appointment queues, biometrics, employer steps or post-decision cards are added.

By Sam Parks, Editor and lead researcher.

99

Scored route clocks

32.3/100

Average score

13

Strong clocks

66

No central clock

Key findings

  • 13 route clocks score as strong, meaning the user gets a current, bounded and relatively narrow official decision window.
  • 8 route clocks expose percentile-style disclosure, which is more useful for planning than a bare legal maximum or a broad editorial range.
  • 66 tracked routes have no central published decision clock; those pages need guidance and delay triggers rather than a guessed number.
  • The index uses the same source records as /api/public/processing-times, so the reliability layer inherits every source URL and last-checked date.

Strongest planning clocks

  • Canada: Express Entry — Federal Skilled Worker (FSW)

    7 months

    100/100

    Published percentile available

  • Singapore: Employment Pass (EP)

    10 days – 2 weeks

    85/100

    Official window with caveat

  • United Kingdom: Skilled Worker visa

    3 weeks

    85/100

    Official window with caveat

  • United Kingdom: Health and Care Worker visa

    3 weeks

    85/100

    Official window with caveat

  • United Kingdom: Youth Mobility Scheme visa

    3 weeks

    85/100

    Official window with caveat

Weakest or most opaque clocks

  • Australia: Skills in Demand visa (subclass 482)

    Not centrally published

    15/100

    No central processing clock

  • Australia: Skilled Nominated visa (subclass 190)

    Not centrally published

    15/100

    No central processing clock

  • Australia: Skilled Work Regional (Provisional) visa (subclass 491)

    Not centrally published

    15/100

    No central processing clock

  • Australia: National Innovation visa (formerly Global Talent)

    Not centrally published

    15/100

    No central processing clock

  • Australia: Australian Student visa (subclass 500)

    Not centrally published

    15/100

    No central processing clock

Methodology

A source-linked index measuring how usable each published immigration processing-time clock is for planning: official clock availability, window width, percentile disclosure and source freshness.

ComponentMaxWhat it rewards
officialClock40A published decision range receives 40 points; a published percentile clock receives 32. No central clock receives zero.
windowWidth30Narrow published windows score higher because users can plan around them more safely.
percentileDisclosure15Authorities that publish p80 or p90-style percentile figures get extra disclosure credit.
freshness15Stored source or method checks within 45 days of the data evaluation date receive full freshness credit. A method check is not confirmation of every numeric result.

Full index

Scores are sorted from most usable planning clock to most opaque. Each row links to the route processing-time page and the official source.

RouteClockGradeScoreDelay trigger
Canada: Express Entry — Federal Skilled Worker (FSW)

Source: IRCC - Service standards

7 monthsStrong planning clock

Published percentile available

100After 6 months (published percentile)
Singapore: Employment Pass (EP)

Source: MOM - Apply for an Employment Pass

10 days – 2 weeksStrong planning clock

Official window with caveat

85After 2 weeks
United Kingdom: Skilled Worker visa

Source: GOV.UK — Visa decision waiting times

3 weeksStrong planning clock

Official window with caveat

85After 3 weeks
United Kingdom: Health and Care Worker visa

Source: GOV.UK — Health and Care Worker visa

3 weeksStrong planning clock

Official window with caveat

85After 3 weeks
United Kingdom: Youth Mobility Scheme visa

Source: GOV.UK — Youth Mobility Scheme visa

3 weeksStrong planning clock

Official window with caveat

85After 3 weeks
United Kingdom: Student visa

Source: GOV.UK — Student visa

3 weeksStrong planning clock

Official window only

85After 3 weeks
United Kingdom: Standard Visitor visa

Source: GOV.UK — Standard Visitor visa

3 weeksStrong planning clock

Official window with caveat

85After 3 weeks
Hong Kong: General Employment Policy (GEP)

Source: Hong Kong Immigration Department - General Employment Policy

4 weeksStrong planning clock

Official window with caveat

85After 4 weeks
United Kingdom: High Potential Individual visa

Source: GOV.UK — High Potential Individual visa

3 weeks – 4 weeksStrong planning clock

Official window only

85After 4 weeks
United Kingdom: Graduate visa

Source: GOV.UK — Graduate visa

8 weeksStrong planning clock

Official window with caveat

85After 8 weeks
Portugal: D7 visa (passive income / retirement)

Source: gov.pt - Residence visa for retirees and people living on their own income

2 monthsStrong planning clock

Official window with caveat

85After 2 months
Spain: Non-Lucrative Visa (NLV)

Source: Ministry of Inclusion - Initial non-lucrative residence

3 monthsStrong planning clock

Official window only

85After 3 months
Canada: Express Entry — Canadian Experience Class (CEC)

Source: IRCC — Check processing times

7 monthsStrong planning clock

Official window only

85After 7 months
Sweden: Work Permit (Arbetstillstånd)

Source: Swedish Migration Agency - Employees

4 weeks – 2 monthsUsable planning clock

Official window with caveat

80After 2 months
United Kingdom: Global Talent visa

Source: GOV.UK — Global Talent visa

3 weeks – 8 weeksUsable planning clock

Official window with caveat

75After 8 weeks
United Kingdom: Innovator Founder visa

Source: GOV.UK — Innovator Founder visa

3 weeks – 8 weeksUsable planning clock

Official window only

75After 8 weeks
United Kingdom: Scale-up visa

Source: GOV.UK — Scale-up visa

3 weeks – 8 weeksUsable planning clock

Official window only

75After 8 weeks
Denmark: Pay Limit Scheme (Beloebsordningen)

Source: New to Denmark - Pay Limit Scheme

4 weeks – 3 monthsUsable planning clock

Official window only

75After 3 months
United Kingdom: Family visa (partner/spouse)

Source: GOV.UK — Family visas

3 months – 6 monthsUsable planning clock

Official window with caveat

67After 168 days
Australia: Skilled Independent visa (subclass 189)

Source: Home Affairs — Global visa processing times

50%: 7 months; 90%: 8 monthsWatch closely

Published observed percentiles

62Percentiles are not deadlines; use the current official tool
Australia: Employer Nomination Scheme (subclass 186)

Source: Home Affairs — Global visa processing times, subclass 186 stream snapshot

Direct Entry Pathway: 50% 13 Months; 90% 21 Months | Agreement Pathway: 50% 58 Days; 90% 12 Months | Transition Pathway: 50% 14 Months; 90% 22 MonthsWatch closely

Published stream-specific percentiles

62Stream percentiles are not deadlines; use the current official tool
New Zealand: Skilled Migrant Category Resident Visa

Source: Immigration New Zealand - Resident visa wait times

Immigration New Zealand snapshot checked 10 September 2026: 80% of Skilled Migrant Category applications completed within 4 months, with a 9.5-week average wait.Watch closely

Published percentile available

62After 4 months (published percentile)
New Zealand: Partner of a New Zealander Resident Visa

Source: Immigration New Zealand - Partner of a New Zealander Resident Visa

Immigration New Zealand lists the Partner of a New Zealander Resident Visa at 80% within 7 months; the resident-visa wait times page currently shows a 5.5-month average.Watch closely

Published percentile available

62After 7 months (published percentile)
New Zealand: Working Holiday Visa

Source: Immigration New Zealand - United Kingdom Working Holiday Visa

INZ working holiday country pages, including the United Kingdom scheme, currently list 80% of applications processed within about 2.5 weeks.Watch closely

Published percentile available

62After 18 days (published percentile)
New Zealand: Student Visa

Source: Immigration New Zealand - Fee Paying Student Visa

Immigration New Zealand lists the Fee Paying Student Visa at 80% within 9.5 weeks.Watch closely

Published percentile available

62After 67 days (published percentile)
New Zealand: Accredited Employer Work Visa (AEWV)

Source: Immigration New Zealand - Accredited Employer Work Visa

Immigration New Zealand lists Accredited Employer Work Visa worker applications at 80% within 8 weeks.Watch closely

Published percentile available

62After 8 weeks (published percentile)
Sweden: Self-Employment Permit (Eget företag)

Source: Swedish Migration Agency - Self-employed people

8 months – 13 monthsWatch closely

Official window only

61After 13 months
Australia: Working Holiday Maker visa (subclass 417/462)

Source: Home Affairs — Global visa processing-time tool, subclasses 417 and 462

Separate subclass 417 and 462 processing figures; offshore cases may take several months.Opaque or no central clock

Official window with caveat

25See source guidance
Ireland: Critical Skills Employment Permit

Source: DETE — Employment permits current processing dates

DETE’s page, published as at 04 September 2026, listed Critical Skills Employment Permit applications received on 26 August 2026. That 9-day difference is a queue-position snapshot, not a decision-time estimate.Opaque or no central clock

Published queue-position snapshot

25Queue position only; recheck the current official date
Ireland: General Employment Permit

Source: DETE — Employment permits current processing dates

DETE’s page, published as at 04 September 2026, listed new General Employment Permit applications received on 30 July 2026. That 36-day difference is a queue-position snapshot, not a decision-time estimate.Opaque or no central clock

Published queue-position snapshot

25Queue position only; recheck the current official date
Netherlands: Orientation year (Zoekjaar)

Source: IND — Orientation year

90 daysOpaque or no central clock

Statutory decision deadline

25Legal deadline: 90 days (not a typical wait)
Netherlands: Partner residence (Dutch national or resident sponsor)

Source: IND — Family reunification

90 daysOpaque or no central clock

Statutory decision deadline

25Legal deadline: 90 days (not a typical wait)
Portugal: Family reunification (residence)

Source: Diário da República — Foreigners Law, Article 105

9 monthsOpaque or no central clock

Statutory decision deadline

25Legal deadline: 9 months (not a typical wait)
Australia: Skills in Demand visa (subclass 482)

Source: Home Affairs — Global visa processing times

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Australia: Skilled Nominated visa (subclass 190)

Source: Home Affairs — Global visa processing times

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Australia: Skilled Work Regional (Provisional) visa (subclass 491)

Source: Home Affairs — Global visa processing times

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Australia: National Innovation visa (formerly Global Talent)

Source: Home Affairs — Global Talent visa

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Australia: Australian Student visa (subclass 500)

Source: Home Affairs — Student visa

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Australia: Partner visa (subclass 820/801, 309/100)

Source: Home Affairs — Partner visa

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Austria: Red-White-Red Card (Rot-Weiß-Rot-Karte)

Source: Migration.gv.at - Skilled Workers in Shortage Occupations

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Canada: Express Entry — Federal Skilled Trades (FST)

Source: IRCC — Check processing times

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Canada: Provincial Nominee Program (PNP)

Source: IRCC — Check processing times

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Canada: Post-Graduation Work Permit (PGWP)

Source: IRCC — PGWP processing times

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Canada: Start-Up Visa (Canada)

Source: IRCC — Start-up Visa

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Canada: Canadian Study Permit

Source: IRCC — Study permit processing times

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Canada: Spousal / common-law sponsorship (Canada)

Source: IRCC — Sponsor your spouse

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
France: Talent Passport — Salaried Employee (Passeport Talent Salarié)

Source: Service-Public.fr - Passeport talent

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Germany: EU Blue Card (Germany)

Source: Make it in Germany - EU Blue Card

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Germany: Chancenkarte (Germany Opportunity Card)

Source: Make it in Germany - Opportunity Card

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Germany: Skilled Worker residence permit (§18a/§18b AufenthG)

Source: Make-it-in-Germany — Skilled Worker visa

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Germany: Recognition Partnership (Anerkennungspartnerschaft)

Source: Make-it-in-Germany — Recognition Partnership

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Germany: Freelance / Self-employment residence permit (§21 AufenthG)

Source: Make-it-in-Germany — Freelance residence permit

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Germany: Job Seeker visa (§20 AufenthG)

Source: German Federal Foreign Office - Job Seeker visa

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Germany: German Student residence permit

Source: Make it in Germany - Studying

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Germany: Family reunion residence permit

Source: Make it in Germany - Family reunification

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Ireland: Start-up Entrepreneur Programme (STEP)

Source: Irish Immigration Service — STEP

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Ireland: Stamp 4 permission

Source: Irish Immigration Service — Registration Office

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Ireland: Irish Student visa (Stamp 2)

Source: Irish Immigration Service — Visa Decisions

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Ireland: Join Family (Irish national or EEA national)

Source: Irish Immigration Service — Join Family

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Ireland: Immigrant Investor Programme (IIP — closed)

Source: Department of Justice — IIP closure FAQ

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Italy: EU Blue Card (Carta Blu UE)

Source: MAECI - The entry visa

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Netherlands: Highly Skilled Migrant (Kennismigrant)

Source: IND — Decision periods

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Netherlands: EU Blue Card (Netherlands)

Source: IND — EU Blue Card

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Netherlands: Dutch-American Friendship Treaty (DAFT) entrepreneur

Source: IND — Self-employed residence (DAFT)

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Netherlands: Startup Visa (Netherlands)

Source: IND — Startup residence permit

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Netherlands: Dutch Student residence permit

Source: IND — Study permit

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Norway: Skilled Worker Residence Permit (Oppholdstillatelse som faglaert)

Source: UDI - Skilled workers

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Portugal: D8 visa (digital nomad / remote work)

Source: Portuguese Consulate network — National visas

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Portugal: D2 visa (entrepreneur / self-employment)

Source: Portuguese Consulate network — D2

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Portugal: Portugal Golden Visa (residence by investment)

Source: AIMA — Residence for investment activity

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Portugal: D3 visa (highly qualified activity)

Source: Portuguese Consulate network — National visas

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Portugal: Portuguese Student visa

Source: Portuguese Consulate network — Student visas

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Spain: Digital Nomad Visa (Spain)

Source: UGE-CE (Unidad de Grandes Empresas) — Teletrabajadores

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Spain: Highly Qualified Professional (HQP) permit

Source: UGE-CE — Highly Qualified Professional

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Spain: Entrepreneur Visa (Ley 14/2013)

Source: UGE-CE — Entrepreneur residence

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Spain: Spain Golden Visa (ending April 2025)

Source: BOE — Ley Orgánica 1/2025

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Spain: Spanish Student Visa

Source: Portal de Inmigración — Student residence

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Spain: Family reunification (Spain)

Source: Portal de Inmigración — Family reunification

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
Switzerland: B Permit — Third-Country National (Aufenthaltsbewilligung)

Source: SEM - Non-EU/EFTA nationals

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United Arab Emirates: UAE Golden Visa

Source: ICP - Golden Residency

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United Arab Emirates: UAE Green Visa

Source: UAE Government Portal — Green Visa

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United Arab Emirates: UAE Employment (Standard Residence) visa

Source: UAE Government Portal — Work visas

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United Arab Emirates: UAE Virtual Working Programme

Source: UAE Government Portal — Virtual working programme

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United Arab Emirates: UAE Green Residence — investor / business partner

Source: UAE Government Portal - Residence visa for doing business

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United Arab Emirates: UAE freelance permit with residence

Source: UAE Government Portal — Freelancing

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United States: H-1B Specialty Occupation

Source: USCIS — Case Processing Times

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United States: L-1A Intracompany Transferee (Executive or Manager)

Source: USCIS — Case Processing Times

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United States: L-1B Intracompany Transferee (Specialised Knowledge)

Source: USCIS — Case Processing Times

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United States: O-1 Individuals with Extraordinary Ability or Achievement

Source: USCIS — Case Processing Times

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United States: EB-1A Extraordinary Ability (Immigrant)

Source: USCIS — Case Processing Times

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United States: EB-2 National Interest Waiver (NIW)

Source: USCIS - Case processing times

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United States: EB-3 Skilled, Professional, and Other Workers

Source: USCIS — Case Processing Times

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United States: EB-5 Immigrant Investor Program

Source: USCIS — Case Processing Times

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United States: E-2 Treaty Investor

Source: DOS — E-2 Treaty Investor

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United States: F-1 Student Visa (with OPT and STEM OPT)

Source: DOS — Student visa (F-1)

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United States: J-1 Exchange Visitor

Source: DOS — Exchange Visitor (J-1)

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United States: TN USMCA Professionals (Canada & Mexico)

Source: USCIS - TN USMCA Professionals

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United States: K-1 Fiancé(e) of US Citizen

Source: USCIS — Fiancé(e) Visas

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance
United States: Spouse of US Citizen or Green Card Holder (IR1/CR1 & F2A)

Source: USCIS — Green Card for Family Members of U.S. Citizens

Not centrally publishedOpaque or no central clock

No central processing clock

15No fixed delay point - use route guidance

Limits

  • This is a planning-transparency index, not a prediction of individual case outcome or deadline.
  • Appointment queues, biometrics, skills assessment, employer steps and post-decision residence-card issuance can sit outside the published decision clock.
  • A low score can mean the government does not publish a central clock; it does not mean the route is bad or impossible.

Cite or reuse this dataset

This index is free to reuse under CC BY 4.0. Cite this report for the scoring methodology, the JSON endpoint for the derived rows, and the listed authorities for the underlying processing clocks.

Suggested citation

Visa Atlas, "Visa Atlas processing-time planning reliability index", https://visaatlas.org/research/processing-time-reliability-index-2026. Data evaluated 11 September 2026.

Page
https://visaatlas.org/research/processing-time-reliability-index-2026
JSON endpoint
https://visaatlas.org/api/public/processing-reliability

Primary sources (77)